To mark the twentieth anniversary of the American-led invasion of Iraq, the C.I.A. director, William J. Burns, stood within the foyer of the company’s headquarters in Langley, Va., and sought to exorcise the ghosts of the prewar intelligence failures that hang-out the constructing to this present day.
Addressing some 100 C.I.A. officers on March 19, Mr. Burns acknowledged how the company catastrophically blundered in its evaluation that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction. However he famous, based on two individuals current, that there was ample blame to go round. The culprits included a hubris-stricken Bush White Home in addition to the State Division — the place Mr. Burns served on the time as a senior official — which he mentioned had unwarranted confidence that it may derail the invasion plans.
Notably Mr. Burns added, “We’ve realized from that arduous lesson.” The intelligence the company and others collected on Russia’s plans to invade Ukraine, he mentioned, “stands as a strong instance of that. It enabled us to supply robust, resolute and assured warning, to assist the Ukrainians defend themselves and to assist the president cement a robust coalition.”
The tableau was a reminder that Mr. Burns, 67, has for many years been a near-omnipresent if subdued actor on the American overseas coverage stage, having served each Democratic and Republican president since Ronald Reagan, except Donald J. Trump. And but the second solely hinted at how Mr. Burns, a key determine within the Biden administration’s assist of Ukraine, has amassed affect past most if not all earlier C.I.A. administrators.
His ascent is an unlikely flip for a tall, discreet determine with cautious eyes, ashen hair and a trim mustache, a kind you could possibly simply think about in a John Le Carre novel whispering right into a dignitary’s ear at an embassy get together that town is falling to the rebels and a ship can be ready within the harbor at midnight.
The affect of his two-year tenure has been as sweeping because it has been delicate. The C.I.A., demoralized and marginalized throughout the Trump years by a president who mentioned publicly that he believed Mr. Putin over his personal intelligence companies, has entered a interval of resurgent status. As a member of Mr. Biden’s inside circle who as soon as served because the ambassador to Russia, Mr. Burns has helped restore America’s higher hand over Mr. Putin. Although spy chiefs are sometimes relegated to the shadows, the Biden administration has thrust theirs into the highlight.
It was Mr. Burns, quite than Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken, whom Mr. Biden dispatched in November 2021 to Moscow, the place from a Kremlin telephone the C.I.A. director spoke with Mr. Putin (who was in Sochi that day) for an hour and warned him to not invade Ukraine. Three months earlier, Mr. Burns was in Kabul to satisfy with Taliban leaders and thus confer legitimacy on the regime as america was withdrawing troops from Afghanistan.
Mr. Burns, who declined to be interviewed on the file for this text, has additionally taken some three dozen journeys abroad throughout his two years as director, usually to satisfy with company part chiefs and their overseas counterparts, as is customary, but additionally to debate U.S. coverage with overseas leaders in Egypt, Libya and elsewhere. Mr. Biden incessantly asks Mr. Burns to accompany the common briefer from the Workplace of the Director of Nationwide Intelligence to the Oval Workplace for the president’s day by day nationwide safety briefing, when the president generally solicits and will get Mr. Burns’s opinions on coverage issues, an administration official mentioned.
Earlier C.I.A. administrators have performed a job in U.S. overseas coverage — George Tenet was harshly criticized for tailoring intelligence to justify the 2003 invasion of Iraq and served as an interlocutor in peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians — however the place has historically been considered as an goal overseer of intelligence gathering separated from coverage and political affect.
Mr. Burns, nevertheless, is the primary C.I.A. director to have beforehand been a profession diplomat (for 32 years), and is on a first-name foundation with quite a few overseas leaders. He speaks Russian, French and Arabic. “He’s one man you weren’t bringing in and having to interrupt out a map for, or having to clarify why it’s that the Turks don’t just like the Kurds,” mentioned Eric Traupe, who till final summer season was the C.I.A.’s assistant director for the Close to East.
Mr. Burns, Mr. Traupe mentioned, is relied upon as an in-house useful resource for the administration, together with by Mr. Blinken and Jake Sullivan, the nationwide safety adviser, on the way to take care of overseas adversaries. It’s “what’s he like, how do you negotiate with him?” mentioned Mr. Traupe, who praised Mr. Burns’s deftness thus far in “not being the focal point.”
After all, the absence of drama within the Biden overseas coverage workforce also can produce “groupthink,” mentioned Douglas London, a former C.I.A. clandestine providers officer who later served as a counterterrorism adviser for the Biden marketing campaign and is now an creator and professor at Georgetown College.
For instance, he cited the administration’s failure to foresee the swift collapse of the Afghan army as U.S. troops withdrew from the nation in August 2021. Although Mr. Burns has publicly maintained that the C.I.A.’s assessments of the Afghan army’s resolve had been “on the pessimistic finish of the size,” the director of nationwide intelligence, Avril D. Haines, acknowledged after the collapse that it “unfolded extra rapidly than we anticipated, together with within the intelligence group.”
The son of a two-star Military normal who fought in Vietnam, Mr. Burns attended La Salle College in Philadelphia, then gained a scholarship to the College of Oxford, the place he developed his urge for food for worldwide relations. He met his future spouse, Lisa Carty, in 1982, when the 2 had been seated alphabetically subsequent to one another throughout overseas service orientation. (Ms. Carty now serves because the ambassador to the United Nations Financial and Social Council.)
Mr. Burns and Mr. Biden return roughly a quarter-century, when Mr. Burns was the U.S. ambassador to Jordan and Mr. Biden was the senior Democrat on the Senate International Relations Committee. They grew nearer throughout the Obama years, when Mr. Burns was the deputy secretary of state and Mr. Biden was vp. In nationwide safety discussions, Mr. Biden and Mr. Burns agreed on not aggressively pushing President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt to step down throughout the Arab Spring in 2011, however they diverged on conducting airstrikes on the Qaddafi regime in Libya and on raiding the compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan, the place Osama bin Laden took refuge. In each circumstances Mr. Biden urged restraint and Mr. Burns urged motion.
As Mr. Burns ready to step down from authorities service in 2014, The Wall Avenue Journal reported final month, a mutual buddy launched him to Jeffrey Epstein, the monetary guide who would later be convicted of a number of intercourse crimes. A spokeswoman for the C.I.A. mentioned that Mr. Burns met twice with Mr. Epstein, each instances to debate personal sector alternatives, and didn’t socialize with him.
In a press release to The New York Occasions, Mr. Burns mentioned that he deeply regrets having met with Mr. Epstein and didn’t know who he was, including, “I want I had carried out my homework first.”
After Mr. Biden gained the presidency in 2020, transition officers requested Mr. Burns if he was focused on an ambassadorship to Japan or China, based on two individuals conversant in the dialogue. However earlier than Mr. Burns may reply, Mr. Biden’s most well-liked candidate for C.I.A. director, Thomas E. Donilon, a former Obama nationwide safety adviser, determined towards taking the job. Mr. Biden then targeted on Mr. Burns, who had by no means aligned himself with any partisan trigger and thus wouldn’t face a tough path to affirmation. He was finally confirmed within the Senate by a voice vote.
Mr. Burns inherited an company reeling from Mr. Trump’s open disdain of the intelligence group, to not point out the lingering aftershocks of two wars and a terrorist assault on U.S. soil. Mr. Trump’s first C.I.A. director, Mike Pompeo, had come into workplace with a conservative agenda and in an early assembly, based on a witness, accused senior analysts of “already having made your minds up” earlier than producing an evaluation that Russia had tried to assist elect Mr. Trump in 2016.
Mr. Pompeo’s alternative, Gina Haspel, a profession case officer, made a extra acutely aware effort to insulate the company from Mr. Trump’s whims, former officers mentioned, however at instances her efforts to mollify him struck some within the company as unseemly. That included when she publicly praised Mr. Trump’s “knowledge” in participating with North Korea in 2019 and when she stood and applauded the president throughout his State of the Union handle a 12 months later.
All of which is to say that Mr. Burns had a low bar to clear upon taking workplace in March 2021. Present and former members of the intelligence group reward him for some inner adjustments, together with working to stabilize the company, urgent for higher variety within the work pressure and instituting a mission middle dedicated to worker wellness.
Externally there have been extra tangible successes, most notably the intelligence sharing with Ukraine that’s extensively credited with bettering Kyiv’s capacity to anticipate maneuvers by Russia’s army. A further supply of assist for Ukraine has been the selective declassification of intelligence paperwork to show Russian disinformation, which grew out of discussions between Mr. Burns, Mr. Sullivan and Ms. Haines, after Ms. Haines’s workplace formalized a system to keep away from revealing sources and strategies within the course of.
Against this, the C.I.A. beneath Mr. Burns has proven restraint on the origin of the coronavirus. In February new intelligence prompted the Vitality Division to conclude that the virus had most definitely been unintentionally leaked from a laboratory in Wuhan, China. However the division did so with “low confidence,” and the C.I.A. stays unpersuaded, based on two individuals conversant in the method. The C.I.A. has thus far declined to challenge its personal conclusion.
Within the meantime Mr. Burns has referred to as China America’s foremost adversary, one whose affect pervades practically each side of the company’s intelligence-gathering mission, from army functionality to digital affect to mineral useful resource acquisition. In consequence, the director has moved the C.I.A.’s disparate China-related departments right into a single mission middle. Doing so — alongside along with his growing promotion of the company’s efforts to deal with the flood of fentanyl throughout the U.S.-Mexico border — dovetails with Mr. Biden’s political agenda because the president heads right into a bruising re-election marketing campaign.
Ought to the president win a second time period, individuals near the administration speculate that Mr. Burns can be a candidate to interchange Mr. Blinken, ought to Mr. Blinken select to step down. Mr. Burns refuses to speak about it, as do his colleagues. Richard Armitage, Mr. Burns’s buddy and former superior on the State Division, mentioned solely, “Regardless of the president asks, he’ll do it.”